Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000028 0.000030 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000046
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000021 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058
2026-01-25 0.000018 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000075
2026-02-01 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000057 0.000076
2026-02-08 0.000015 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000077
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000080
2026-02-22 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000058 0.000082
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000081
2026-03-08 0.000012 0.000015 0.000021 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000080
2026-03-15 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000039 0.000055 0.000082
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000038 0.000055 0.000084
2026-03-29 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000037 0.000055 0.000085
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000037 0.000056 0.000089
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000039 0.000060 0.000097
2026-04-19 0.000009 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000125
2026-04-26 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000073 0.000126
2026-05-03 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000072 0.000126
2026-05-10 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000073 0.000130
2026-05-17 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000132
2026-05-24 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000071 0.000130